Sunday, December 23, 2012
There is space stuff crashing into the Earth all the time, which is not a problem as long as it’s small stuff.
Big objects, like the asteroid 2011 AG5, are more of a problem. Big objects can create big craters, can throw immense amounts of material into the atmosphere, which can block the sun, and change the climate, and cause mass extinctions.
(Image: Asteroid 2011 AG5, as viewed by the Gemini Multi-Object. Credit: UH IfA, Gemini Observatory.)
But 2011 AG5 won’t be one of those big objects, according to new research from the University of Hawai`i’s Institute for Astronomy and the Gemini North telescope on Mauna Kea. It will come close, but will miss the planet by about a half million miles, they said.
Earlier research had estimated that there was a small chance—1 in 500—that 2011 AG5 could hit the planet, on Feb. 5, 2040. And since it’s a big one—a couple of football fields across—that could be a big problem, they said.
“If this object were to collide with the Earth it would have released about 100 megatons of energy, several thousand times more powerful than the atomic bombs that ended World-War II. Statistically, a body of this size could impact the Earth on average every 10,000 years,” says the Institute for Astronomy release on the subject.
The Gemini’s Multi-Object Specrograph snagged views of the asteroid low in the sky in late October. The University of Hawai`i’s 2.2 meter telescope on Mauna Kea spotted the asteroid two weeks earlier. From those views, researchers were able to refine its orbit.
The calculations were initially made by Institute for Astronomy researchers David Tholen, Richard Wainscoat, Marco Micheli, and Garrett Elliott, with further analysis by NASA’s Near-Earth Object Program Office at California’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory.
NASA reported that based on their work, the possibility of an impact has been eliminated.
© Jan TenBruggencate 2012