Friday, March 13, 2020
COVID-19 Fake News: Stuff people are saying about the disease thats just bull
There is lots
of information about COVID-19 out there, and some of it is bad information.
Hereʻs some
of the stuff Iʻve been hearing thatʻs not true, or not entirely true.
Q. A friend
asked whether, once youʻve had the virus, youʻre immune in the future.
A. The answer
is, probably, but not certainly.
Youʻre
generally immune to a virus after having gotten it—at least for a while.
However, there have been rare cases in which people have appeared to be over COVID-19,
and then got sick again. Was it simply a relapse of the original infection or a
new one? Thatʻs not yet clear.
There is also
indication that the virus has evolved, at least in China, and that there are
now at least two versions of COVID-19 out there. If youʻve had one, you might
still be susceptible to getting the second. Hereʻs a link to a scientific paper
on that.
The Centers
for Disease Control says this: "The immune response to COVID-19 is not yet
understood. Patients with MERS-CoV infection are unlikely to be re-infected
shortly after they recover, but it is not yet known whether similar immune
protection will be observed for patients with COVID-19."
Q. Another person
said flu goes away in the summer, so this will be gone by mid-year.
A. Donʻt count on it. This
disease has not been around long enough to know. Hereʻs what the Centers for
Disease Control says about that:
"It is not yet known whether weather and
temperature impact the spread of COVID-19. Some other viruses, like the common
cold and flu, spread more during cold weather months but that does not mean it
is impossible to become sick with these viruses during other months. At this time, it is not known whether the
spread of COVID-19 will decrease when weather becomes warmer. There is much more to learn about the
transmissibility, severity, and other features associated with COVID-19 and
investigations are ongoing."
Q. A
co-worker told me he read that if itʻs a dry cough itʻs COVID-19, but if itʻs a
wet cough itʻs the flu.
A. Wrong.
(Sometimes.)
As this guide from Johns Hopkins Medicine notes, thereʻs no sure thing with symptoms. A dry
cough occurs most often in COVID-19, but not always. Same with fever—some patients
have one, some donʻt. Same with soreness and tiredness. Same with shortness of
breath.
A World Health Organization study in Chinaʻs outbreak found that fever occurs 88 percent
of the time, dry cough in 68 percent of
cases, fatigue in 38 percent, sputum
production in 33 percent, shortness of breath in 19 percent, sore throat in 14
percent, headache in 14 percent, joint pan in 15 percent, chills in 11 percent,
nausea or vomiting in 5 percent, nasal congestion in 5 percent, diarrhea in 4
percent, and coughing up blood in 1 percent and and watery or inflamed eyes 1 percent.
Q. Someone
asked, if I get tested, will I know for sure that I am or am not infected?
A. If you
have symptoms and a positive test, youʻre infected. The test can confirm that
the disease youʻve got is not a cold or flu or other virus and is COVID-19.
If you have
no symptoms and you can get someone to test you, chances are it will be
negative. But that doesnʻt necessarily mean you donʻt have it. It could mean you donʻt. Or it
could mean youʻre infected but havenʻt been infected long enough to test
positive.
"As with all currently available tests, it’s
not yet clear how long a person needs to be infected before testing positive,
or whether someone who's infected could be identified by the test before
displaying symptoms."
Q. If I get sick,
I can only infect others while I have active symptoms.
A. Wrong. You
can infect people a day or two before your active symptoms show up,
and you might be able to pass the virus to others for a week or more after youʻve recovered.
This German study found active viruses for many days after symptoms disappeared.
© Jan TenBruggencate 2020
Posted by Jan T at 10:42 AM 1 comments
Labels: Emergency Management, Government, Health/Medical, technology
Thursday, March 12, 2020
Drying laundry efficiently: air dry is best, but in a dryer long and cooler is more efficient than short and hot.
A friend
asked a question about energy use in clothes dryers.
The discussion started
with the understanding that if you can hang your clothes in the breeze on a
clothesline, youʻve found the most energy efficient way to dry your laundry.
But if you
need to use a dryer, she asked, is more energy efficient to run the dryer
longer at a cool temperature, or shorter at a higher temperature.
There are all
sorts of variables in this calculation. Different types of fabric. Different
starting moisture levels. The more-dry setting (uses more energy) compared to
the less dry setting (more efficient.) Gas dryers with electric motors (more
energy efficient) versus all-electric dryers (less efficient.) And within those
categories, newer dryers that emphasize efficiency versus ones that donʻt.
But given
equivalent conditions, and assuming all-electric, it looks like running a dryer
longer at a slightly cooler temperature saves energy compared to running it
hotter shorter.
Thatʻs
because the heating requires so very much more electricity than the motor.
This paper
from the American Council for an Energy-Efficient Economy (ACEEE) found that energy savings are available from "using a lower heat setting to reduce
the energy spent heating air, cloth, and metal. The clothes get just as dry, though
drying time may be longer."
Thereʻs a lot
more in that paper, so if youʻre interested, read through it, or at least read
the recommendations and conclusions in the last four pages.
And this piece of research is old, but it was authoritatively done by the Oak Ridge National Laboratory,
and it also found that itʻs the heating that uses most of the power in a dryer.
The dryers back then were not all that different than those today, and ORNL
calculated that 91 percent of the energy was used for heating, and 9 percent
for all the dryerʻs other functions: tumbling, blowing and running the
controls.
The U.S.
Governmentʻs Energy.gov website comes to the same conclusion: "Use lower
heat settings in the dryer. Even if the drying cycle is longer, you’ll use less
energy and be less likely to over-dry your clothes."
The site also
has lots of other tips on saving energy in the laundry arena.
© Jan
TenBruggencate 2020
Posted by Jan T at 7:01 AM 2 comments
Labels: Climate Change, Conservation, Energy, Government, Pollution, Sustainability
Tuesday, February 11, 2020
Rat lungworm now in coqui frogs, bufos, even centipedes and crabs.
![]() |
| Coqui frog. Credit: U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service |
This may read
like something out of a Godzilla movie, but it has now become clear that rat
lungworm disease has now teamed up with coqui frogs.
Researchers last year identified rat lungworm in the invasive, incredibly noisy
frogs, and last month published a scientific paper on their findings.
Lungworm is
spreading throughout the environment. Itʻs not only in rats, and of course
humans and now coqui, but the scientists found it is also in centipedes, greenhouse frogs and even bufos.
The paper,
"Occurrence of Rat Lungworm (Angiostrongylus cantonensis) in Invasive
Coqui Frogs (Eleutherodactylus coqui) and Other Hosts in Hawaii, USA," was
published in the Journal of Wildlife Diseases. The lead author is Chris N.
Niebuhr of the USDAʻs National Wildlife Research Center Hawai`i Field Station
in Hilo. Co-athors are Susan I. Jarvi, Lisa Kaluna, Bruce L. Torres Fischer,
Ashley R. Deane, Israel L. Leinbach, and Shane R. Siers.
It still is
not yet clear what role the new carriers play in transmitting the disease to
humans, but it is clear that the rat lungworm is finding a pliant host in some
of them: "In the frogs and toads, multiple tissue types were positive,
including stomach and intestine, muscle, liver, heart, and brain, indicating
larval migration," the authors wrote.
Rat lungworm
is a nematode, a tiny worm that can cause severe neurological symptoms in
humans. Here is the Hawai`i Department of Health website on the disease.
Symptoms can
go from nearly unnoticeable to severe pain and even paralysis.
Humans can be
infected by, generally accidentally, eating it. Says the state Department of Health:
"You can get angiostrongyliasis by eating food contaminated by the larval
stage of A. cantonensis worms. In Hawaii, these larval worms can be found in
raw or undercooked snails or slugs. Sometimes people can become infected by
eating raw produce that contains a small infected snail or slug, or part of
one. It is not known for certain whether the slime left by infected snails and
slugs are able to cause infection. Angiostrongyliasis is not spread
person-to-person."
The many
source of human infection in the Islands seems to have been from unnoticed infected
worms on salad greens, but as the nematode moves into new hosts, there could be
new sources of infection.
The new hosts
are referred to as paratenic or transport hosts. They are now believed to
include frogs, toads, lizards, centipedes, crabs and other species. And while you might not
directly eat these things, you or your pets could still be at risk.
The paperʻs
authors wrote: " Although the species discussed here are not
known to be intentionally consumed by humans in Hawaii, the ingestion of
infected hosts could still pose a threat to other animals, because rat lungworm
can infect both domestic and wild animals such as dogs (Canis lupus
familiaris), horses (Equus caballus), and birds."
Rat lungworm
in rats is excreted in their feces, which can be eaten by snails and slugs, as
well as other species. Humans have been infected when eating uncooked greens with live slugs on them.
With the disease now in frogs and toads and centipedes and
the rest, new transmission could occur when uninfected rats eat infected
specimens of those creatures. And with so many different carriers, it is possible new ways will emerge for humans to be impacted.
This is still
an active area of research, the authors say, and more needs to be learned:
"Although
our report of rat lungworm infections in frogs and centipedes implicates them
as possible disease reservoirs, further investigations are warranted to better
understand the role paratenic hosts may be playing in angiostrongyliasis
transmission in Hawaii."
©Jan TenBruggencate 2020
Posted by Jan T at 10:13 AM 2 comments
Labels: Agriculture, Birds, Evolution, Government, Health/Medical, Invasive Species, Zoology
Thursday, February 6, 2020
Climate change causing deep ocean churning
The oceans
around Hawai`i are changing in many ways—and the latest to be detected is how
fast the great currents flow.
Certainly the
seas are warming, are acidifying, are rising, but now thereʻs evidence they are
churning in ways that had not been predicted.
The evidence
has been building. Five years ago, a paper in Science by Scripps researchers
Dean Roemmich and John Gilson reported the great South Pacific Gyre had been
increasing in speed, driven by increased surface winds.
Those winds
drive currents, and the currents have been speeding up for the past
quarter-century, says a new report in Science Advances.
"We have
found a strong acceleration in the global mean ocean circulation over the past
two decades. The acceleration is deep-reaching and particularly prominent in
the global tropical oceans and can be attributed to the planetary
intensification of surface winds since the 1990s," the authors wrote.
The currents
not only are increasing in energy by 15 percent a decade, but they are also
driving ocean mixing between shallow and deep waters.
"The
increasing trend in kinetic energy is particularly prominent in the global
tropical oceans, reaching depths of thousands of meters," say the authors,
Chinese, American and Australian researchers Shijian Hu, Janet Sprintall, Cong
Guan, Michael J. McPhaden, Fan Wang, Dunxin Hu and Wenju Cai. The paper is
entitled "Deep-reaching acceleration of global mean ocean circulation over
the past two decades."
What that
means is complicated. It can mean that more atmospheric heating can be trapped
and delivered into the deep oceans, reducing some of the immediate surface
impacts of global warming, but also changing conditions for marine life in the deep oceans. It can change weather patterns on land and over the
seas.
There is
still a lot to know. Most of this paper is based on observations that go down
2000 meters (a little more than a mile), and it is still uncertain whatʻs
happening in the very deep oceans.
"The
data-void abyssal ocean is likely to be important. Thus, intensive observations
that monitor the deep global ocean circulation are urgently needed not only for
understanding past conditions but also for reducing uncertainty in future
projections of the global ocean circulation," the authors say.
Wind speed is
driving the increased water speed, and wind speeds are expected to continue to
increase.
As little as
10 years ago, scientists were concerned that climate change was quieting the
worldʻs winds, but even as they were writing those papers, the winds were
picking up, dramatically.
©Jan TenBruggencate 2020
Posted by Jan T at 8:37 AM 0 comments
Labels: Climate Change, Marine Issues, Physics, Solar, Weather, Wind
Sunday, December 22, 2019
Ugly fix preserves options for a classic steel library cart
I was
presented recently with a 60-plus year-old library cart whose solid rubber wheels had
flattened from sitting for years under load.
You could force
it to roll, but it went "Ka-lunk Ka-lunk Ka-lunk," which is an
annoying sound in a library. My job was to make it roll quietly.
It is a
classic blue-painted steel cart with two bins and four wheels, two of which
turn and two that donʻt. The rubber wheels still had the legible name of the
manufacturer: The Colson Company of Elyria, Ohio.
Turns out
Colson still exists, and their customer service is excellent. They had to refer
me to one of their old-timers, who told me they closed their Elyria plant in
1957. So the cart is at least 62 years old, and maybe older.
Colson still
makes wheels for library carts, but theyʻre modern designs. They no longer make
the bulletproof steel wheels that were on this cart.
The cartʻs
wheels still turn on their original greased bearings. Each wheel axle has its
own Zerk grease fitting, and they still work. I greased them. The wheels can be
taken apart to replace the solid circle of rubber that serves as a tire. I took
one apart and removed the tire, to prove to myself that it was possible.
But as far as
a couple of hours of internet searching was able to determine, the tires for
this wheel are no longer made. Colson had no idea where to look.
Their
Honolulu agent recommend I go ahead and replace the whole wheel mechanism with
a modern plastic caster. But that seemed wrong. This American steel wheel was
still functional, and someone long ago had designed and built it, understanding
that it would last a long time. It could be serviced and was built so that the
tires could someday be replaced.
After giving
up on the internet, I went to local tire stores, local hardware stores, local
car parts shops, all with no luck. I could not locate a replacement tire of the
right size—three-inch center diameter, five-inch outer diameter, with the tire
itself an inch thick in cross-section.
I even thought
about using a giant O-ring to replace the tire, but the rubber would be too soft. Another option would be to find wheels the same size, and tear them apart to get the rubber wheels off and switch then to these wheels. Someone at a hardware store even suggested I could 3-D print a tire. Maybe
thatʻs the eventual fix in the modern era.
Instead, for
now, I used an abrasive grinder to grind the hard rubber wheels round again. It
took a third of an inch off each wheel, but the old wheels are still turning, the
cart is rolling quietly, and if anyone ever again makes a tire to fit them, theyʻll
still be ready for a new set.
© Jan TenBruggencate 2019
Posted by Jan T at 4:25 PM 0 comments
Labels: Conservation, Recycling, Sustainability, technology
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